September 30, 2005
Happy birthday, Xinjiang and China

It's a happy 50th birthday to the Xinjiang Urgur Autonomous Region (motto: the autonomy you have when you're not really autonomous).

To celebrate the People's Daily discusses Prosperous, stable Xinjiang - a pleasant surprise to foreigners. It appears progress and happiness, in the words of fluent Chinese speaker and American student Pam Ariand, is a warm bun: "Hamburgers were never seen here several years ago, but now you can easily find outlets of Kentucky fried chicken, pizza and many other western foods in Xinjiang."

Martyn at TPD has an excellent potted history in just four paragaphs - Xinjiang 50th anniversary: occupation or liberation? Make sure you read the comments at that link as well to hear the opinion of those who have lived there.

While on anniversaries, a very happy 56th birthday to the New China. Follow the link to read the pain of a 7 year old girl's history lessons, numerous counts of foreign aggression and surprisingly little mention of the Great Leap Forward, the Cultural Revolution and other weird political movements.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 18:36
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» The Jawa Report links with: U.S. Warns of Islamic Terror Threat in China
» The Jawa Report links with: U.S. Warns of Islamic Terror Threat in China
» The White Peril 白禍 links with: You haven't aged a bit




Daily linklets 30th September

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 17:07
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» Sun Bin links with: Understanding China's ethnic groups, and I love Curzon's map blogs




Hong Kong Hubris

Simon, allow me to chime in on your recent post Hong Kong Boom Town with my two cents. I totally agree that the powers that be in Hong Kong are incredibly self-satisfied and complacent with their performance and that of the city. As those of us to remember the SARS episode, it seems Hong Kong is either busy patting itself on the back for a job well done, or it is wallowing in self-pity, misery and envy. There seems to be no middle ground.

That is made plainly obvious today in a press release made by the Chief Executive in response to a report by the World Economic Forum (WEF). The WEF, in their Global Competitiveness Report 2005-06, has released its rankings, which have Hong Kong dropping from 21st to 28th. Given the number 1 ranking of economic freedom by the right-wing Heritage Foundation think-tank, this came as a shock to local leadership. Allow me to quote the HK press release:

here is no sign of any deterioration in Hong Kong's competitiveness, Chief Executive Donald Tsang says. The World Economic Forum's accusation of weakening in the city's judicial independence and a rise in corruption is also ungrounded.

In the World Economic Forum's Global Competitiveness Report 2005-06, released yesterday, Hong Kong's rankings for the "Macroeconomic Environment Index" and "Technology Index" went up. However, there is a marked decline in the "Public Institutions Index" which led to a visible fall in Hong Kong's global competitiveness ranking from 21st to 28th.

Responding to the report today, Mr Tsang said he will study it in detail and see if there is room for improvement. The Government will contact the organisation to better understand their assessment criteria as there is no sign of any deterioration in Hong Kong's competitiveness.

The sheer hubris for Donald Tsang to suggest that Hong Kong may very well have no room for improvement is astounding and flabbergasting. For them to flatly deny that there is any basis for the WEF lowering their ratings on Hong Kong's judicial independence and corruption instead of a more measured refutation is quite astounding too, particularly coming from Elsie Leung (of Sing Tao fame, among other things).

Remember the story of Icarus, Mr. Tsang...

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 13:30
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Hong Kong boom town

Ian at False Positives has links to the Globe and Mail's survey on Hong Kong, looking at Hong Kong's booming economy, the return of Canadians to Hong Kong, an interview with the ubiquitous Allan Zeman and on the two systems theory. Ian also mentions three offline articles on HK Disneyland, the property market and praising Hong Kong's infrastructure. It seems the G & M journos managed to tick every box in the Hong Kong cliche toolbox. Ian notes the massive gap in the article - any discussion on the politics of the city.

By way of contrast Stephen Vines draws attention to the dichotomy of Donald Tsang: the difference between his vast personal ambition and his timidity in political reform:

Why is it that what is personally good for the chief executive is unrealistic for Hong Kong? As long as the SAR is prepared to aspire to no more than second best in terms of democratic development, the overall development of Hong Kong will be stunted. Realists demand the best and Hong Kong, if nothing else, is a city of realists.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 12:24
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September 29, 2005
Daily linklets 29th September

NSFSU: Not safe for standing up.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 19:31
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» Sun Bin links with: Taiwan's Defense Option (ii): Arms Procurement "Accounting"




The people's Confucius

Everything old is new again. Confucius is quickly regaining his place amongst China's pantheon of heroes. Yesterday in Shandong there was a major celebration of Confucius's birthday in Qufu. The China Daily waxes lyrically, saying Confucius soundbites offer wisdom and laughter and stating Confucius probably ties with Shakespeare for the title of most quoted human ever and noting he scooped a guy called Matthew: Most Confucius aphorisms can easily cross boundaries of age, culture and religion. Actually parallels exist: "Do not do to others what you do not want them to do to you." This echoes the Golden Rule from Matthew 7:12: "Do unto others as you would have them do unto you."

For a long time the Communists had trouble with Confucius. The China Daily puts it delicately:

However, not every citation from the sage sounds palatable to the modern ear. Confucian overemphasis on filial piety and respect for authority was criticized during the May 4 Movement in 1919 as hampering social progress. In the early 1970s, Confucius became the target of character assassination as part of a weird political movement.
"Weird political movement" - what a great phase. I wonder if that will become part of the Party's official history.

Like all things in politics, the key question is why now? The answer is between the lines of a piece in the People's Daily titled Enlightenment drawn from global worship of Confucius:

...The world today is not in peace, this is mainly because of hegemony and terrorism...Confucius said, "A gentleman gets along with others, but does not necessarily agree with them; a base man agrees with others, but does not coexist with them harmoniously".
In case it's too subtle for you, I'll help you: U.S.A.
...Fifty years ago, the Chinese government, together with India and Burma (Myanmar), initiated the Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence for handling international relations, and thus made major contribution to world peace.

The "one country, two systems" principle advanced by Deng Xiaoping has successfully solved the problem of the return of Hong Kong and Macao to the embrace of the motherland and it embodies China's traditional spirit of "harmony without uniformity", thus providing the world with a typical example for solving similar problems.

In case it's too subtle for you, I'll help you: Taiwan

Confucianism advocates benevolence: "One who, destining to develop himself, develops others and in destining to sustain himself, sustains others", "Don't do to others what you don't want others to do to you", and one should get along well with all peace-loving people. Refraining from seeking hegemony is a fine tradition of Confucianism.
U.S.A.
China's present peaceful rise is precisely an inheritance of the fine tradition. China's peaceful development will not constitute a threat to the surrounding countries. As Chinese President Hu Jintao said in his speech delivered at the summit marking the 60th anniversary of the founding of the United Nations on September 15: We should "adhere to the spirit of tolerance, jointly build a harmonious world. Difference in history, culture, social system and development pattern should not become obstacle to exchanges among various countries, still less should it be a reason for mutual antagonism". This actually is an emphasis on "harmony without uniformity".
That last paragraph is for everyone, with an emphasis on the U.S.A.

So the why is simple: Confucius hasn't changed, but the Communist Party has. "Harmony without uniformity" is the antithesis of the CCP's history.



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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 11:14
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» The White Peril 白禍 links with: You haven't aged a bit
» Conjectures and Refutations links with: Boot to the Head




The only traffic lights in China

Monty Python had a famous song about traffic lights. It began (the full version is below the jump):

I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
No matter where they've been.
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
But only when they're green.

It appears China has taken the message to heart. Today's SCMP reports on the latest efforts to prepare China for a potential flu outbreak with....you guessed it, a set of traffic lights with Chinese characteristics. Below the jump is the flu system, with the added bonus of a blue light at the "don't panic" level. But this isn't the first time we've seen the blue/green/yellow/red lights. Only last month the Income Research Institute said China's income gap was approaching the yellow light area. I'm waiting for someone to introduce the "walk/don't walk" scale.

In a country where 100,000 people died last year from traffic accidents, it's a shame the only traffic lights that get noticed are in newspapers.

China's flu alert system

flutrafficlights.jpg

The full Monty Python traffic light song

I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
No matter where they've been.
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
But only when they're green.
He likes traffic lights,
He likes traffic lights,
He likes traffic lights,
No matter where they've been.
He likes traffic lights,
He likes traffic lights,
He likes traffic lights,
But only when they're green.
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
That is what I said.
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
But not when they are red.
He likes traffic lights,
He likes traffic lights,
That is what he said.
He likes traffic lights,
He likes traffic lights,
He likes traffic lights,
He likes traffic lights,
He likes traffic lights,
But not when they are red.
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
Although my name's not Bamber.
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
I like traffic lights,
I...Oh God!



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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 09:39
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September 28, 2005
Daily linklets 28th September

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 18:05
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Oil, textiles and the Ruskies

Yes, it's Jamestown Foundation's regular China Brief newsletter:

1. William Hawkins says Chinese textiles will likely lead to further tensions with America.

2. John Calabrese looks at the broadening ties between China and Saudi Arabia.

3. Martin Andrew has an in-depth look at the Sino-Russian military exercises and the conclusions reached.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 14:06
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Taishi and China loses

The uprising in the village of Taishi hasn't received much coverage in Western media. ESWN has provided good coverage. There is the chronology of events to get you up to speed, the background to a report by Knight Ridder on the revolt in Taishi. Yesterday we noted the People's Daily applauding the CCP's rural election reforms. And ESWN has a clear explanation of the importance of the Taishi elections:

First of all, let us be very clear about what has happened. In essence, this is exceedingly simple.

* Fact: The village committee director of Taishi is elected by popular vote. In April 2005, Chen Jinsheng was elected with more than 60% of the votes.

* Fact: According to Article 16 of the Rural Villagers Organization Law of the People's Republic of China, the people may ask for a recall referendum of the village director if 20% of the eligible voters sign a joint petition. The petition must include some valid reasons. An example of an invalid reason might be the 20% are men who object to a woman being the director, and such a petition may be rejected because it violates other laws against gender discrimination. An example of a valid reason might be failure to publish financial statements for the village. The listed reasons do not have to be proven. For example, the thrust of the Taishi petition is not necessarily about corruption, which leads to a debate over the evidence. The Taishi petition can be about competence: Why is this village running a budget deficit with an accumulated debt of 10 million RMB? Could another village director do better than this one? That is fair and sufficient for a recall vote.

* Fact: After a lot of twists-and-turns and ups-and-downs, most of which are unfair and unjust to the villagers, there was an election to select seven committee members to organize the recall. The seven candidates proposed by the government were resoundingly beaten by the people's own choices. There will be a recall referendum to be held some time in the near future. If the current director Chen Jinsheng is recalled (and this seems very likely), there will be an election for a new director...

Taishi is that big case study.

Yet all the hope of this long running drama has seemingly come to end with a win for the status quo. The SCMP reports the game is over:

Villagers in Taishi, Guangdong province, have given up a three-month battle to remove their unpopular village chief after repeated threats to their lives, according to a lawyer supporting the group. More than 1,000 villagers reluctantly signed a letter circulated by the Yuwoutou township government, which oversees Taishi village, to stop dismissal proceedings against Chen Jinsheng . In another blow to the villagers' fight, the seven committee members elected to the board to oversee Mr Chen's dismissal on September 16 were replaced last week after they resigned. Allegations that Mr Chen misused village funds had led to a spate of protests, including petitions and hunger strikes, since July.

Tang Jingling , a Guangzhou lawyer providing help to the villagers, yesterday said he did not know the backgrounds of the seven new committee members or how they were selected. "But the villagers told me that the original seven-member committee was forced to withdraw from the election committee," he said, without explaining from where the coercion came.

Mr Tang went to Taishi with his lawyer colleague, Guo Yan , and Sun Yat-sun University Professor Ai Xiaoming on Monday to talk to villagers whose relatives were in custody for pushing for the dismissal of Mr Chen. Professor Ai said the group's taxi was chased and forced to stop by security guards who then smashed all the windows.

"The guards were in a frenzy. We were very scared and feared we could be killed," she said.

Miss Guo hitched a ride with a passing motorcyclist to seek help, but guards chased her on the highway and beat her on her head and leg with sticks. Professor Ai said Miss Guo had been left with bruises and a fever. While being chased in the taxi, they had used their mobile phones to call for police help, but no one came.

"We saw a police car drive past in the middle of the attack, but it didn't stop," she said. "We only succeeded in getting away when the taxi driver sped off and took us to Guangzhou police bureau." She said they reported the incident to the police.

Professor Ai, who was an observer of the Taishi village election on September 16, said Taishi was under "terrorist" control. "If people's lives are not safe in Taishi, how can one talk about other human rights," she said.

Professor Ai said the Taishi incident, hailed by outside media as a test case of grass-roots democracy on the mainland, had come to a tragic ending, but she hoped the country could learn from it.

By yesterday, 13 villagers were still in custody after a September 12 riot.

A letter dated September 15 from villagers' adviser Yang Maodong , better known as Guo Feixiong , was only delivered to his lawyer yesterday. It confirmed he had been officially detained since September 13.

Ten people have been jailed for between one and five years over a violent protest last month in which residents attacked government offices and destroyed cars in Hubei province. Earlier reports said thousands of residents, many unemployed, went on the rampage after police used dogs to try to break up a protest over a plan by authorities in nearby Huangshi city to annex the city of Daye.

So much for grass-roots democracy.



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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 10:43
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» False Positives links with: Hong Kong is Booming again, but it’s democracy languishes.




September 27, 2005
Daily linklets 27th September

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 18:48
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Non-party party members

The People's Daily waxes on the Communist Party's rural election reforms:

Election of secretary of village committee of the CPC will no longer an internal affair of the Communist Party of China (CPC), as non-Party people have been allowed to attend CPC's grassroots election...In past decades, secretaries of all levels of CPC committees were elected merely by Party members and they were the top leaders of their administrative regions. But normally in one village, there were only dozens of Party members out of over 10,000 non-Party people. How could guarantee that the secretary elected by dozens of Party members could reflect the common will of all villagers?
That's an excellent question. Indeed extending that logic has profound consequences. How can you guarantee the provincial or national secretaries and officials elected by thousands of Party members reflect the common will of all?

There's an answer of sorts in the same article.

"...allowing non-Party people to participate in CPC's grassroots election will consolidate CPC's ruling foundation," said Ding Junping, head of the public administrative college under the Wuhan University...

...more than 20 provinces have admitted non-Party people to CPC's grassroots election on trial.

The professor is saying that these non-Party elected officials are de facto Party members, because they've been elected to their posts. Co-opting these officials is the only way the Party will be able to maintain its grip on power. Villagers will quickly realise the discrepency between being able to vote for their village leaders but not for their county or provincial or even national leaders. While village government is the one with most immediate impact on their lives, the likelihood of growing frustration with the ever-growing income gap with their urban cousins will one day spill over to frustration with Government at higher levels.

Another reason the CCP's primary focus is on rural development and closing the income gap.



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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 10:26
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September 26, 2005
David Webb does Disneyland

David Webb has a simple request to Hong Kong's Government: let the taxpayers of Hong Kong see the accounts, agreements and details of Hong Kong International Theme Parks Ltd. He also asks a rhetorical question: was this a good use of 280 hectares and why was there no tender?

Don't hold your breath waiting for answers.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 18:11
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Daily linklets 26th September

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 16:40
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China's economic blood and sweat

China's economic boom grabs headlines and inspires admiration around the world. However it comes at a steep price. China's economic growth is inefficient - it takes far more investment per unit of GDP than similar economies at similar stages of development (e.g. South Korea and Japan). More chillingly, it is built on a disgraceful and disgusting human toll. Chinese industrial "accidents" resulted in more than 136,000 deaths last year. That's one death per 100 million yuan of GDP, or 178 industrial deaths per million people employed, or 372 deaths per day.

What's worse is these numbers are conservative. Many deaths are not reported - for example mine bosses often pay off families with hush money to avoid exposure and to continue their shoddy practices. These numbers also do not reflect on those who are injured but not killed through workplace accidents, a far greater number but with devastating long term consequences.

At some point these stop being accidents and become more akin to homicides by negligence. It is yet another seedy underbelly of the "China miracle".

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 15:00
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All the news that's fit to print (with Chinese characteristics)

Xinhua has announced new regulations for online news as part of China's ongoing clampdown on the net. Inevitably Mainland bloggers will be considered part of this regulation. Xinhua's report begins:

Online news sites that publish stories containing fabricated information, pornography, gambling or violence are facing severe punishments or even shutdown.
Skinhua should be careful. And there's a state-owned irony alert in effect.

Other reading

Glutter
Richard reflects on Hu's promises of reform and transperency with the new reality.
Martyn notes this is the latest in tightening censorship in recent years.
Fons says this may be non-news being distorted.
Howard French: with economic reforms come greater press restrictions.
Dan Drezner asks spammers to help the CCP.
Jack Risko says China is a house divided against itself and makes a comparison with 1858 America.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 14:12
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» Glutter(.org) links with: Cyberdissident Shi Tao is not a Decapitating Murderer: Why Yahoo! Should have been raked over with Hot Coals..
» Glutter(.org) links with: News: The New Rules Against Internet "Subversion" in China




September 25, 2005
Year of the Swans

swans.gif

Update (25/9)

I have a beautiful wife, 3 beautiful children. Despite my tender years I have been fortunate enough to travel the world, live in two of the greatest cities on the planet and experience far more than I ever thought possible.

And after being in Melbourne and witnessing first hand yesterday's events, I can now die a happy man*.

* Not that I'm planning on doing that any time soon, but it's good to tick off the important stuff early, just in case.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 21:11
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September 23, 2005
Daily linklets 23rd September

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 12:46
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Mickey and the Little Emperors

Geoffrey Fowler, a reporter at the Asian Wall Street Journal and a Harvard-trained anthropologist, gave an illuminating talk last night to the Hong Kong Anthropological Society about Hong Kong Disneyland and its meaning from a globalization perspective. The main thrust of his enjoyable thesis is that, far from being an agent of American cultural imperialism, Disney is subject to the whims of the true agents - the Chinese consumers. They are the ones that determine how the Disney characters and the Disney experience are to be interpreted. Specifically, Disney is struggling to understand and cater to the 'family revolution' occuring in China, and the fact that the one child of these families is effectively in charge of consumption.

Some key points:
1) Chinese prefer taking pictures to any rides or any particular 'experience'.
2) Marie the Cat, not Mickey Mouse, is the most popular character. Many because she looks like a certain character from Sanrio.
3) Disney decided to make an 'Anaheim in miniature' rather than an Asianized Disney, because that's what they thought Chinese consumers wanted.

Read more at my more substantive review of this talk on my personal blog.

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 11:46
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Cat fight

Mouthless cat or ruthless corporate machine?

kitty.jpg

The Standard reports on the long arm of Sanrio and its damn cat:

Hello Kitty's copyright holders are threatening to sue FM Theater Power, a local drama troupe, for infringing its intellectual property rights, it was revealed Thursday.

The stage enthusiasts, a group of secondary students and drama lovers, said they received a letter Wednesday last week from local solicitor Victor Chu and Co representing Sanrio of Japan accusing them of stepping on Hello Kitty's copyright tail.

Sanrio requested that the drama group disclose all the details of activities connected with the production, promotion and staging of the play Kitty Hunter, including advertising materials, ticketing information, audience counts, revenue and profit...Banky Yeung, artistic director of the group and writer of Kitty Hunter, said the drama was simply a love story about a girl named Kitty, even though plush Hello Kitty toys are used as props and images similar to the cartoon character serve as promotion materials...

...the play has been staged 59 times in various places including the academy's theater and cultural venues managed by the Leisure and Cultural Services Department since 2000.

The good news for the theatre troup is this kind of publicity will do far more for ticket sales than any flyer.

If you can stomach it, you can eat Hello Kitty.



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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 11:04
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» asiapundit links with: hello kitty lawsuit




Google and China

As if Google hasn't had enough problems in China already, the People's Daily reports on Google's CN domain name problems:

"Gmail.cn", the domain name for Gmail in China, has been registered by a Beijing-based company instead. Gmail is a key product of Google. In fact, almost all the CN domain names for Google's such products have been registered by others.

Launching Gmail in April 2004, Google registered "gmail.com.cn". However, gmail.cn was registered by a Beijing-based company as early as in August 2003. Experts say, the time of the registration of "gmail.cn" was far earlier than the debut of Google's Gmail, so the possibility for the CN domain name to be recovered is rather slim unless the registration was vicious.

Months ago, Google recovered two domain names, i.e. "google.com.cn" and "google.cn" at high prices, but its troubles are far from this. It is shown at China Internet Network Information Center that the CN domain names for GoogleTalk, Google Earth, Googlelocal, etc. have all been registered by others.

Among the investor registers, there is the far-sighted such as a Guangdong-based company, who registered "googlelocal.cn" and "googlelocal.com.cn" in March 2004, far earlier than the one-week old GoogleLocal. There are also others who did it after the news on Google's redeeming the domain names with one million yuan was released. They registered "googlemap.cn" and "googleearth.cn". The time of the registration of "googletalk.cn" and "googletalk.com.cn" was along side with the official appearance of GoogleTalk.

It is really surprising that the registers could be so precise and fast.

Suspiciously surprising. There's some moral here about Communists, capitalism, cybersquatting, intellectual property and domain name rights, and Goliath Google against Guangdong Davids.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 10:41
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September 22, 2005
Daily linklets 22nd September

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 12:54
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Burma Watch

You will notice that one of my advertisers is from Burmawatch.com, a blog that does what it says. Here is a guest post from them on Burma's plight:

c. Torture and Other Cruel, Inhuman, or Degrading Treatment or Punishment


The authorities routinely subjected detainees to harsh interrogation techniques designed to intimidate and disorient. The most common forms of mistreatment were sleep and food deprivation coupled with around-the-clock questioning; some detainees also were kicked and beaten. Credible reports continue that prisoners are forced to squat or assume stressful, uncomfortable, or painful positions for lengthy periods.

There continued to be credible reports that security forces subjected ordinary citizens to harassment and physical abuse. The military forces routinely confiscated property, cash, and food, and used coercive and abusive recruitment methods to procure porters. Those forced into porterage or other duties faced extremely difficult conditions and beatings and mistreatment that sometimes resulted in death (see Sections 1.a. and 6.c.). In June security forces beat NLD members (see Section 2.b.).

There were frequent reports that soldiers raped women who were members of ethnic minorities, especially in Shan, Karenni, and Karen states, where the majority of armed encounters between the army and insurgents took place.

This from the 1998 State Department Human Rights Report, which may ( or may not ) be one of the first disturbing stories I ever heard of out Burma. I had been told of the oppression there but not in a way you would think, you see in high school I would wear a shirt which stated Mission to Burma, to me at that time it meant nothing more that a cool 70's punk band until one day I was pulled out of my class for making a political statement.

"Are you trying to say that the people of Burma are oppressed?" they asked. "It's just a rock band, you know music." A few years later I read the above report. I remember then thinking how odd it was that I was almost sent home for (accidentally) mentioning what was going on in Burma, to this day I meet many people who have no idea.

This all in a nation from which some in Burma wait to be saved. Actually the working theory among those educated in the fight for democracy is that there would be no need for a war, no need for America to actually save the people of Burma and I'll tell you why.

The conventional vision is that if the US showed up in Burma, all the people who are against the junta, which would included many in the military, would then stand up leaving so few left that are for the junta that surrendering would be the only option. That is the working theory anyways. And that is loosely how cluttered Burmese society is.

The Burmese are a mystical and wonderful people who once you get to know you can't help but admire.

Daw Aung San Suu Kyi

The first name Daw is just a formality, typical in asian culture and Kyi is pronounced chee. For those of you who don't know, she was democratically elected in 1990 for her party the National League for Democracy, but the junta refused to give up power and as of taday she has spent almost 10 years under house arrest. For a time last year there were report the Nobel Peace Prize winner was ill but she was not permited to see a doctor. Once or twice a year President Bush calls for her to be released, along with other leaders around the world but the media doesn't cover those calls, only people like me even know such words are said.

There are sanctions against doing business with Burma but that doesn't stop many nations and companies, and the US doesn't hesitate to do business with those doing business with Burma. Here is a wonderful list of companies profiting in Burma.

Tourism is booming in Burma. Obviously the junta gets most of your tourist dollars but over the years I have decided that what little business owners get is better that nothing which is the result of boycotts. But that is just my opinion, one that took me years to come to.

Through out the cities, the mountains and the jungles of Burma there are many different peoples, the Kachins, Karennis, Was, Palaungs just to name a few. Beggining to know Burma may be a bit confusing, but once your acquainted!

As I stated previously, the english name Myanmar was given to the land by the junta, to call be Burma is to be in defiance.



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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 11:26
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Hong Kong's Times Square

Today the SCMP profiles Hong Kong's Times Square - not the Causeway Bay shopping centre, but Mongkok's Portland St. Just as New York City cleaned up Times Square, so Mongkok is being transformed. The opening of the massive Langham Place office/hotel/shopping centre complex has changed the area from a red light district to a fashionable tourist and entertainment mecca. The new centre has resulted in rising rents (by 75% according to the SCMP), forcing out the triads and brothels and bringing in wealthier shoppers and tourists. But hookers and triads don't disappear, they just move their place of business.

To that end I highly recommend reading Times Regained, from The New Yorker about the history and regeneration of Times Square. Much of it applies to equally to Hong Kong and Mongkok, with one important exception. Some excerpts (but read the whole thing):

...There are, of course, people who miss the old Times Square, its picturesque squalor and violence and misery and exploitation. Those who pointed at the old Times Square as an instance of everything that capitalism can do wrong now point to the new Times Square as an instance of everything that capitalism can do worse. Where once Times Square was hot, it is now cold, where once varied, now uniform, where once alive, now dead. Which just proves, as with the old maxim about belief, that people who refuse to be sentimental about the normal things don’t end up being sentimental about nothing; they end up being sentimental about anything, shedding tears about muggings and the shards of crack vials glittering like diamonds in the gutter...

The myth they [authors of two books on Times Square] want to dispel is that the cleanup of Times Square in the nineties was an expression of Mayor Giuliani’s campaign against crime and vice, and of his companion tendency to accept a sterilized environment if they could be removed, and that his key corporate partner in this was the mighty Disney, which led the remaking of West Forty-second Street as a theme park instead of an authentic urban street. As Traub and Sagalyn show, this is nearly the reverse of the truth...

The story follows, on a larger scale than usual, the familiar form of New York development, whose stages are as predictable as those of a professional wrestling match: first, the Sacrificial Plan; next, the Semi-Ridiculous Rhetorical Statement; then the Staged Intervention of the Professionals; and, at last, the Sorry Thing Itself...

Of all the ironies of the Times Square redevelopment, the biggest is this: that the political right is, on the whole, happy with what has happened, and points to Times Square as an instance of how private enterprise can cure things that social engineering had previously destroyed, while the left points to Times Square as an instance of how market forces sterilize and drive out social forces of community and authenticity. But surely the ghosts of the old progressives in Union Square should be proudest of what has happened. It was, after all, the free market that produced the old Times Square: the porno stores were there because they made money, as part of a thriving market system. Times Square, and Forty-second Street, was saved by government decisions, made largely on civic grounds. Nothing would have caused more merriment on the conservative talk shows than the luts regulations—imagine some bureaucrat telling you how bright your sign should be—but it is those lights which light the desks of the guys at the offices of Clear Channel on Forty-second Street, and bring the crowds that make them safe. Civic-mindedness, once again, saved capitalism from itself...

This last point is where the New York/Hong Kong comparison falls down. Here civic-mindedness is non-existent in Government circles. Make Tamar a park instead of building a new Legco building? Make West Kowloon a park and arts complex rather than a property development? Stop reclaiming the harbour for evermore roads and office projects?

A simple dose of civic-mindedness could do wonders for this city. It's a shame it will never happen.



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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 11:14
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Would You Mind Protesting Over There Please?

Today's Standard carries an article that demonstrates the unpreparedness of the Hong Kong government for the vicious, idiotic thugs (who come up with the money to protest all over the world) that are the anti-globalization WTO protesters.

The government has chosen the Southorn playground, an open concrete area (in Wanchai proper) over half a kilometer away from the Convention Centre (Wanchai North) and importantly, on the other side of Gloucester Road, as the 'official protesting area'. They expect the know-nothing demonstrators to be happy to stay and protest there even though they are not anywhere near the site of the WTO meeting and will never be seen by the WTO delegates except on TV. Fat chance. They'll find a way to get a lot closer to the action. If you're going to place them that far away, why don't you bus them all up to the Big Buddha on Lantau? Then they can tell the Enlightened One all their problems.

The Wan Chai district councillors are protesting this decision, not because the protesters will likely make trouble closer to the scene anyway, but because they think the protesters that are actually willing to follow directions and chant slogans at Southorn, a place totally cut off from the WTO meeting, will trash and disrupt the business of nearby shops (like the girlie bars a block away).

I guess giving them the big space by the waterfront would not do though, given that the Convention Centre is made of glass, and would ruin the visit made by zillions of Mainlanders daily to the Golden Bauhinia (that sterile hybrid flower that is the symbol of Hong Kong - how fitting) who are told that the flower is ever-so-meaningful to people here.

I think what they ought to do is to give them some random area in Wanchai North. How about Tamar, next to the former Prince of Wales building, now the PLA Army HQ in Hong Kong? Have the molotov-throwing protesters demonstrate right next to the People's Liberation Army. That'll give them something to think about. Or maybe the Wanchai sports ground. It's also not too far from the Convention Centre, and you can lock them up and shoot all the tear gas you want at them in an enclosed space if necessary.

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 09:19
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September 21, 2005
Daily linklets 21st September

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 12:32
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» howard french and "liu kin-ming's biased article links with: howard french and "liu kin-ming's biased article




Stranger danger in Hong Kong

Unsurprisingly Hong Kong's Immigration Department allegedly has a "watch list" of those who pose a security risk and that list includes Falun Gong members, according to a court case reported by the SCMP:

Four Taiwanese Falun Gong practitioners were refused entry to Hong Kong to attend a religious conference two years ago because they were on the Immigration Department's "watch list", the Court of First Instance heard yesterday...immigration officers had revealed in court affirmations that the four posed a security risk to Hong Kong...

They were stopped at Chek Lap Kok airport in February 2003 after arriving from Taiwan to attend the Hong Kong Falun Gong Experience Sharing Conference, organised by the Hong Kong Association of Falun Dafa. They were among 83 overseas Falun Gong practitioners refused entry to Hong Kong at the time, 80 of them from Taiwan.

But perhaps times have changed...
The four were allowed to enter Hong Kong from Taiwan on Monday to attend yesterday's hearing.
They're too dangerous to have them sit and conduct breathing exercises, but not dangerous enough to stop them from attending court.

By way of contrast, Hong Kong continues to get ready to welcome all sorts of genuine security risks, in the form of WTO metting protesters. Wan Chai District Council, where the conference is to be held, has said they understandbly do not want to host the protesters at Sourthorn Playground. It's bad enough that most of Wan Chai will shut down for the duration of the December meeting. Schools will close. Roads will close. In short, Wan Chai will come to a standstill, the police are ready with riot gear and Hong Kong is bracing for the inevitable violence. Who's the real security risk?

I hope Wan Chai will be re-opening each night. Otherwise what are the WTO delegates to do? And I'm now taking wagers on the nationality and number of men who mysteriously wake up in their hotel room sans wallet and pants.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 11:16
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Red space, green money

There's a massive irony when Communist China's space agency is showing captialist America's NASA how it's done. The SCMP:

Despite strict secrecy surrounding the launch date of the Shenzhou VI manned space flight, state television is already selling advertisements to promote the launch, state press reported yesterday. China Central Television is offering advertising slots ranging from 2.56 million yuan for five seconds to 8.56 million yuan for 30 seconds, the Beijing Modern Commercial Daily reported.

The flight, China's second manned space flight, is scheduled to take place next month, although no date has been announced. Two astronauts are expected to orbit the Earth for five days in a mission different from the Shenzhou V that orbited the Earth 14 times in a 21-hour flight in 2003.
Now if we can just work out how to cram some reality TV stars onto that rocket, we'll really be onto a winner.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 09:34
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September 20, 2005
Chang Cheng Cappuccino

It's official: after opening 140 other outlets in China, including inside the Forbidden City, Starbucks is opening a store at the Badaling section of the Great Wall. Any modern day Mongol hordes can stop for a latte before driving on towards China's old Imperial capital. Of course, the demand must be there for the savvy cafe-preneurs to be setting up shop at the Wall, from hordes admittedly coming from the capital, with new sections of wall created daily by the pile-up of the tour buses.

To be sure, a piping hot coffee would have hit the spot after my first encounter with the Badaling section of the Wall in February 1988, when the structure had been covered in ice and snow... Globalization waits for no one.

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 19:07
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» Guardian Unlimited: Newsblog links with: Starbucks breaches Great Wall of China




Tough times for newspapers

Clearly it's desperate days in the newspaper world. Last week the Asian Wall Street Journal (AWSJ) set up a booth offering cut price access to the paper and WSJ.com. This morning at Pacific Coffee there are free International Herald Tribune's and an offer of 2 weeks free delivery, with a stack of IHT's begging to be taken. Walking into the office, the AWSJ stand has morphed in a stack of free copies of today's edition, a pile that has remained static and high for most of the day.

At the same time Ian Lamont discusses his recent op-ed in the best locally produced English-language daily in East Asia* on the potential power of the internet and mobile phones amongst China's citizenry. Ian was paid a freelance fee that works out to about $200. I'm assuming that's US dollars, not HK dollars. With the typical mix of low quality op-ed pieces and cut-and-paste jobs from various syndicates or "big papers" on the SCMP's pages, that sounds like money for jam. There's plenty of good blogs out there (many of which I link to) which give you better and clearer analysis from people on the ground...for free. Note that this isn't having a go at Ian...his piece was the exception that proves the rule.

What's happening to newspapers? They can't even give them away for free.

* Incredibly, he's talking about the SCMP. Although what's the competition in that category?

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 15:50
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Daily linklets 20th September

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 13:09
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China's role in North Korea talks

After years of failed talks, finally agreement is reached with North Korea over its nukes. The onus remains on the North Koreans to live up to their end of the bargain, but that's by the by. Far more interesting is what happened to force the issue? Why now?

The North Koreans are lavishing praise on their Chinese hosts. China's leadership remains petrified of a collapse of North Korea and the massive influx of refugees likely should that happen. Nor did it fancy the alternative of a potential American led invasion, leading to American troops literally on the border.

China has always held the whip hand in the talks. For example China supplies most of North Korea's electricity at friendly rates. Having North Korea annoy the Americans served as a useful foil for China and it kept Japanese and South Korean minds focussed on the threat from the North Koreans rather than any possible threat from China. But more recently both America and Japan have started viewing the potential strategic threat from China as a seperate issue from the Korean one. The North Korean problem turned from an asset to a liability.

So China saw the light, so to speak, and realised a resolution of the Korean nuclear issue was also in its interest. It doesn't hurt that this makes the Chinese look like world statesmen and foreign policy players (albeit in their own backyard), just as negotiations over the UN Security Council and talks about China's emerging superpower role are all the rage.

It's no co-incidence that as soon as China got serious about the nuclear talks, so did North Korea. The key question is whether China can make the North Koreans deliver on their promises given the deserved scepticism that abounds.

Further Reading

Chris has a good summary of various reactions to the North Korea deal.
Sean says Japan isn't entirely happy with the results.
North Korean talks leave questions unanswered.
The full text of the statement at the end of the talks.
Zen Pundit parses the puzzle of Pyongyang...also asking why now?

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 11:31
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» Barbarian Envoy links with: Progress Before The Carnage




September 19, 2005
Suicide in China

The Independent of Britain ran a story on the high suicide rate in China - 250,000 people killed themselves last year; according to the article they were victims of the country's fast changing society. Unfortunately, numbers on that scale look shocking to anyone not from China, including the article's author. You would need to look at the rate per 100,000, which is the measure adopted by most countries globally. There you discover that China is slightly lower than the global norm of 25 per 100,000 as provided by the World Health Organization (WHO) in 2000. However, that rate is certainly increasing if you compare it to the rate of China in 1999 of 13.0 for men and 14.8 for women, a worrying trend.

The article does bring up other interesting points though, even if it skims the details. There are apparently only 4,000 fully-trained psychiatrists in all of China - and because they deal with the mentally-ill, they only get paid a measly RMB 2,500 a month. Not the career opportunity of choice then, to floow in the footsteps of Freud and Jung. Also, more women than men kill themselves in China, the opposite of world trends. They are apparently overwhelmed by the suffocating lack of opportunity in China's rural countryside, and tend to use pesticides to do the job.

With such poor levels of available care and help, callers to a Beijing suicide prevention hotline are often calling from as far away as Tibet. It is a wonder that the numbers are not in fact higher. Is it in spite of, or perhaps because of the fact that modern-day China has no social safety net? This table shows suicide has always been more a disease of developed societies. But as at least some parts of China begin to qualify, it may need to strengthen its suicide prevention programmes.

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 09:24
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September 16, 2005
Blogads

You may have noticed that I have added Blogads to the left sidebar. For an extremely low cost you can have an ad seen by 12,000 Hong Kong, China and Asia focussed visitors each week. Placing an ad is easy: just follow this advertise on Simon World link.

The proceeds from advertising on this site go towards improving it. Once there's enough in the kitty I'll be getting some much needed behind the scenes work done, as well as some cosmetic surgery on the bits you can see...just as any reasonable tai-tai would. Anything leftover will go into a newly formed marketing budget which will include buying ads on other blogs (sharing the wealth) and an unlimited expense account (spending the wealth).

So get busy and get advertising.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 17:56
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Mark Steyn and Hugh Hewitt talk China

Hugh Hewitt invterviews Mark Steyn:

HH:...We never talk about China, but there was a story in the Wall Street Journal today by Samina Ahmad, that pointed out that China currently has 360 million mobile phone subscriptions, and a hundred million online internet users. Four of the ten most trafficked internet sites are Chinese. Are we paying enough attention to these people, Mark Steyn?

MS: Well, I think we can always pay more attention to China. And particularly, I would say the Russian-Chinese border, which is going to become a huge flashpoint in the years ahead. Basically, China is slowly going to annex the Eastern part of Russia. That's my view. But at the same time, the idea that China's dictatorial government will not effectively impede its expansion to world power status, China has severe structural problems. I'll just give you one example. Their distorted birth rate, artifically distorted birth rate, which means they have this huge surplus of men. Unless they're figuring on becoming the first gay superpower since Sparta, that is going to be a huge issue for them. Where do these people go? They have got huge structural problems, and so this idea that China is going to supplant America around about 2050, I think is complete nonsense.

HH: But they are buying just about everything that can be bought on the open market, and they are upset everytime someone says no, we might need a little of the oil ourselves.

MS: Yes, and that is an issue. I mean, in my own country, in Canada, they're covertly buying up Canada's natural resources, because they're a resource-poor country. But what eventually becomes the issue is whether a country of its present size is going to proceed to superpower status. I just don't think that's possible. There's a widening gap between the rural inland China and these coastal cities that are booming. And that in the end is going to bust that country apart. There'll be two, three, four Chinas on the world's stage eventually.

I report. You decide.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 16:51
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Daily linklets 16th September

May your mid-autumn festival be full of mooncakes.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 16:12
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» The White Peril 白禍 links with: Koizumi's post-election China policy?
» matthewstinson.net » blog links with: Should Prime Minister Koizumi send China a thank-you note?




Swanning about

swans.gif

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 13:10
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Old fashioned politics

Macau often gets called the Las Vegas of Asia. Now it's going for the Chicago of Asia:

Macau's Commission Against Corruption has unearthed a massive vote-buying ring. The commission said Thursday it has recommended prosecution of 485 people...

The commission identified the leader of the ring as a businessman surnamed Wong. He is said to have spent 215,000 patacas (HK$208,550) to secure 430 voter cards through his subordinates. Macau law requires residents to show the cards when they vote...Personnel managers at Wong's company, which was not identified, and two subsidiaries, organized a voter- registration drive for staff last spring. Employees then submitted their voter cards to the managers in exchange for 500 patacas. If they gather 10 more cards from their family and friends, they get an equal reward.

Enterprising fellow. So who ratted them out?
The anti-graft agency started its investigation in May after receiving a complaint about a voter accepting 250 patacas for his card. Wong was soon identified and picked up in a restaurant that month while in possession of multiple cards.
One voter was going to ruin it for everyone and take only 250 patacas! Otherwise the whole scheme would have gone ahead without a hitch. Let that be a lesson to your vote buyers.

As for the state of booming Macau, perhaps it's time to stop looking at the glittering new casinos and rising stock prices, and start following a new index:

Votes were priced at 1,000 patacas in the 2001 cases. Vote buyers this year have promised to pay 1,000 patacas on election day in addition to 500 patacas in cash or gift certificates for voter cards.
A 50% rise in 4 years. Not a bad return.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 11:26
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Put Your Arms In the Air

Great news today. Indonesia has announced that it has a local small arms manufacturing company that has figured out how to make an automatic rifle for half the price (US$500) of the M-16 (US$1,000) and that the Indonesian military may soon replace the M-16 with this new SS-2 as its standard armament.

So, the armaments industry of a corruption-ridden Muslim nation has made the business of killing much cheaper for itself and for its neighbors, not to mention anyone else that might want to buy some. Although I can't possibly imagine any non-government organizations in Southeast Asia that might want them.

I shall look out for the SS-2 next time I go to Darra.

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 11:21
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September 15, 2005
Hong Kong Contingency Fees

Hong Kong's Law Reform Commission is trying the old faithful, contingency fees or no win, no fee for certain civil cases. I like to think they are following my humble suggestions from February after the lawyers again complained they weren't paid enough by legal aid.

Contingency fees help that mythical but favourite beast, "the squeezed middle class", who don't qualify for legal aid but can't afford lawyer's fees. Contingency fees are a wonderful idea. Those with a case but without enough money can still have their day in court, knowing that if they lose they do not face financial ruin. The lawyers can compete on a commercial basis, claiming cases on their ability to win them. The lawyers also act as a brake on frivilous cases, as no lawyer will take on cases they see no prospects of winning.

The relevant closed shops welcome the deal with their traditional "it's great in theory..." line:

Bar Association vice chairman Andrew Bruce said the commission is highly respected and that the Bar looked forward to being consulted on the issue.

However, he added, this was "something we should be very cautious about." Bruce feared that commercial considerations might undermine the primary consideration of independent legal advice. "To us, access to justice means access to quality justice: legal advice which is truly independent," he said.

You see a lawyer would never consider the money an important part of their advice. It's all about the law and being an officer of the court. If having an artificial distinction between barristers and solicitors leads to higher fees, that's the cost of "quality justice". If having a self-regulating body that deliberately limits competition amongst its members results in higher fees, that's the cost of "quality justice". If these same bodies deliberately restrict the number of new entrants to their ranks and thereby ensure demand always exceeds supply, that's the cost of "quality justice". (Note you can easily substitute the words doctor for lawyer and justice for medicine here.) The SCMP has more of the lawyer's cautions on this "double-edged sword":
Law Society president Peter Lo Chi-lik said that according to the traditional argument against conditional fees, giving lawyers a bigger stake in a case's outcome creates temptation to "bend the rules".

He also said while such an arrangement may enhance access to justice for those who wish to sue, it may also inadvertently encourage nuisance lawsuits.

The threats of disbarment, fines and even jail for "bending the rules" should be enough to counter those temptations. We've dealt with the idea of nuisance lawsuits already - if a lawyer isn't getting paid unless they win the case, they'll prove a very effective filter against such cases. Wait until the Law Society imply we're moving towards "American style litigation". America has long had contingency fees, but that's not the problem with their legal system. If anything, that's one of its strengths. The problems are in torts and other areas. But it's always a nice bogeyman to throw out their to scare the punters.

It boils down to this: lawyers will hide behind high minded notions of "balancing principles and value judgments". Unfortunately for them, a competitive market has proved extremely adept at doing just that. The biggest hint that contingency fees are a good idea is the obvious one: that lawyers don't like it. If they are fighting the idea, it's because they know full well they are giving something up. It will be their clients who will take the gains, but clients are a diverse, diffuse and poorly represented group. It's the age-old problem of micro-economic reform. A small special interest group will bleat loudly about their potential losses, while the gains are spread widely amongst the wider public. If only their were representatives of that public interest.

But the last word must lie with retiring District Court judge Fergal Sweeney, from the SCMP:

The Justice Department yesterday defended private lawyers hired to prosecute complex commercial crime cases after a retiring judge was quoted as saying many were lap sap, or rubbish.

District Court judge Fergal Sweeney, who will retire tomorrow, told Ming Pao that taxpayers' money was wasted as many defendants who should have been convicted were acquitted because of these lawyers.

The judge was reported to have said 20 per cent of them were lap sap but yesterday he told the South China Morning Post there had been a misunderstanding.

Underestimation or misunderstanding? These are the comments of a judge that has dealt with lawyers full time for years.

Other Reading

Fumier comments on contingency fees and notes it's nothing new.



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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 19:04
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Daily linklets 15th September

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 14:32
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New blog mascot

This site has a new mascot...and I've discovered how much I'm worth (about $11,000 and 2 giraffes).

Firstly, the blurb.

Simon, a Red Panda, plays in a tree at Jerusalem's Biblical Zoo September 5, 2005. Jerusalem's Biblical Zoo has a new addition, a rare Chinese-born Red Panda. The eight kilogram (19 pound) bear-like mammal was purchased two months ago from a zoo in Singapore for about $11,000 and in exchange for two giraffes.
Sounds like a fair exchange.

Now introducing Simon the panda:


simonthepanda.jpg

Thanks to Spirit Fingers for the pointer.

The Simon the panda original news link.



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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 10:03
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September 14, 2005
Daily linklets 14th September
  • Irrational exuberance in a Chinese perspective.
  • ESWN, the recent victim of misattibution by the plagarism-prone China Daily, explains why he doesn't care who gets the credit.
  • China's labour shortages are spreading inland.
  • "Horse farts" in China.
  • Caleb explains what you should not being doing with your life.
  • China's WTO implementation efforts.
  • The uproar over the charging of 2 Singaporean bloggers with sedition for racist comments continues unabated. Singapore Angle has great coverage: part 1, part 2, part 3. It returns to a question that continues cropping up for bloggers - they are subject to their local laws, even if they are on the internet. An easy rule of thumb is if you wouldn't publish it in a newspaper, don't put it on a blog.
  • Today's must read is Eswar Prasad's Next Steps for China in the IMF's magazine which argues that broader financial sector reform is crucial for China's long term growth (via New Economist). I've previously looked at studies of China's progress against poverty as part of its economic development. One of the conclusions was the much of China's early rapid growth has come from the "low-hanging fruit" (i.e. easy pickings) such as de-collectivisation, the institution of partial property rights and giving individuals responsibility. China is entering the next phase of its development - the harder yards of making a working market economy where price matters more than connections. The Government has already bailed out its banks once with huge recapitalisation efforts, yet there are fears that the non-performing loan pipeline is rapidly growing again. Until loans are made and priced on credit risk, the cycle will continue and China will quickly find itself at a growth bottleneck or worse...just as Japan has faced for 15 years.
  • I'm pleased to note Mark Anthony Jones has taken my advice and started a blog: Flowing Waters Never Stale.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 16:33
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Hu, Liu Yazhou, China's special forces & Kashmir

After a month long break, the Jamestown Foundation's China Briefs are back. As always, some great reading for China watchers:

1. Willy Lam talks about President Hu's consolidation of power while he tries to maintain social stability. Lam's writings are always must reads.

2. A senior commissar, general and princeling of the CCP, Liu Yazhou, continues to publish provocative articles. As the article states, it is a "startling indication of policy discussion and change" when a senior establishment member is publishing such articles without censorship.

3. Matrin Andrew looks at the challenges for China's special forces with terrorism, riots and the Olympics.

4. China's policy on Kashmir, a key aspect of China's policy in dealing with both Pakistan and India.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 09:49
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» The Acorn links with: China’s anodyne policy on Kashmir




Cosmetics are a con

Literally a con, says the Guardian. Read the whole article linked below by Dave for the full, grizzly story.

I wonder if cosmetics will carry a new warning: May contain lead or buckshot.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 09:12
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September 13, 2005
A Chinese Question of Face

Shocking, gory story in today's Guardian newspaper. A Chinese cosmetics company takes the skin and collagen from executed prisoners and sells it to beauty companies in Europe. And the collagen from the prisoners, executed by gunshot, is transported via Hong Kong. A quote from that company's representatives:

The agent told the researcher: "A lot of the research is still carried out in the traditional manner using skin from the executed prisoner and aborted foetus." This material, he said, was being bought from "bio tech" companies based in the northern province of Heilongjiang, and was being developed elsewhere in China.

He suggested that the use of skin and other tissues harvested from executed prisoners was not uncommon. "In China it is considered very normal and I was very shocked that western countries can make such a big fuss about this," he said.

The agent said his company exported to the west via Hong Kong."We are still in the early days of selling these products, and clients from abroad are quite surprised that China can manufacture the same human collagen for less than 5% of what it costs in the west." Skin from prisoners used to be even less expensive, he said. "Nowadays there is a certain fee that has to be paid to the court."

I know we live in a relativistic world, but can we, just once, have a sign of some universal standards? Sickening.

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 23:46
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Daily linklets 13th September

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 16:09
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Minnie Lights Up

So it seems that the first day of operation for Hong Kong Disneyland went quite well.

Except for the smog blanketing the territory. And the Chinese tourists lighting up in non-smoking areas. And going barefoot. And letting their kids urinate all over the park. Cleaners complained of all the cigarette butts all over the park at day's end.

The Apple Daily deemed the behavior of some of these less well-educated mainlanders 'disgraceful'. Read the article from the Associated Press.

But then again, do we want their money or not? Is there a choice?

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 15:40
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Chinese reaction to Japan's election

Sean asked what the Chinese press reaction to Koizumi's win in Japan has been. As you'd expect, there hasn't been much. After all, China can't stand the man.

Xinhua has a few reports on the Koizumi's landslide victory and a piece on Japan's foreign policy which mentions his pledge to normalise ties with North Korea but says nothing about China. An op-ed piece largely focusses on the postal reform with the only passage on foreign policy saying:

the LDP noted the need to improve ties with Asian neighbors. Yet, the points was rarely mentioned in Koizumi's campaign speeches.

After the voting, the premier stopped short of dismissing the possibility of paying a visit to the Yasukuni Shrine when he was answering questions on a live program of the public broadcaster NHK. His repeated visits to the war criminal-enshrining facility was the major stumbling block in relations with China and South Korea.

And that's about it. Official China is likely in denial...and building up their foam for Koizumi's next shrine visit.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 14:59
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» The White Peril 白禍 links with: What does the PRC think about Koizumi's victory?




Buddhism with Chinese Characteristics

Over the past quarter century, the Chinese Communist Party has become quite adept at privatizing organizations and introducing them to the Profit (Prophet?) motive. In fact, their audacity knows no bounds - check out these photos in Xinhua showing 18 monks from the Jade Buddha Temple being put into an MBA program at Shanghai Jiaotong University "with Buddhist characteristics". The atheists at the CCP must be so mystified (and horrified) at the concept of renouncing material desire that they are forcing these monks to get with the program and start focusing their mind on a new mantra - "Greed is Good". I wonder how they translate 'Gordon Gecko' into Chinese?

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 11:38
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A 'Transparent' China?

China's leaders now have promised to disclose the full casualty figures for disasters that strike the country. These developments seem to have bamboozled the editorial board of Xinhua, which said that "the adjective 'stunning' may be applied if the comparison is made between the present and twenty years ago."

We have every reason to be skeptical, particularly in Hong Kong, where the 2003 SARS outbreak and the policy of silence on the Mainland only served to increase the disquiet in this city. But the way this policy is applied in practice definitely bears watching, particularly given the justifications Xinhua provides for this new policy stance:

These developments have formed an irrevocable trend or growing public participation in government aided by advances in technology.

The government has been increasingly promoting transparency to enhance efficiency and stem corruption.

The people in China, an increasing number of whose daily needs are being met, now exhibit more readiness to care for public affairs.

Modern information technology has greatly facilitated mass communication and reduced the leeway of deciding whether or when certain affairs should be publicized.

After steering China's economic and social development successfully and steadily over the years, it appears the government is now willing and capable of advancing transparency constantly and steadily... Some scholars hold the view that the democratic processes of a country are closely related with its phase of social and economic development and the governance capability of the government.

In other words, they are doing it because they've realized that the people demand more honesty from their government, the Internet and the speed of the rumor mill makes hiding accidents impossible and even counter-productive, and that they recognize that an overall policy of transparency may help the effort to root out corruption and bad government. Xinhua then sanctions modernization theory (which holds that economic development will lead to political liberalization) as an acceptable point of view.

Obviously, these developments are still at an early stage. But as they say at AA, the first step is to recognize you have a problem...they seem to have diagnosed their travails quite well. Let's see what happens when the rubber meets the road.

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 11:26
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September 12, 2005
Daily linklets 12th September

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 18:58
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Magical Mickey Maths

Boys, girls, Mr Vice President:

Today Hong Kong Disneyland opens. A world of fantasy and adventure, where nothing is quite as it seems. From the comfort of your PC you can take a tour of the numbers behind the scenes. Then finish off with a handy hint for anyone visiting Hong Kong's little piece of (culturally sensitive) Americana.

Magical Mickey Maths

Hong Kong Government's revenue projection over 40 years: HK$148 billion
Professor Lui Ting-ming's estimate of net benefit over 40 years: HK$32 billion

Figure Government is using to make projection: total revenues from park, jobs and tourism receipts.
Figure Professor Lui is using: net profits
Figure any business uses in assessing the return on investment: net profits

Number of jobs created by HK Disneyland: 5,000
Number of people employed in Hong Kong: approx. 3.5 million
Percentage of new jobs due to Disneyland: 0.14%

Average wage of Hong Kong non-management/professional employees: HK$10,382 a month
Average wage of Hong Kong Disneyland non-management/professional employees: take a guess

Hong Kong Disneyland size: 299 acres
Relative to Florida DisneyWorld: 1%
Difference in ticket prices: Hong Kong is 20% cheaper
Estimated time to walk Hong Kong Disneyland (without crowds): 30 minutes

Money spent by Hong Kong Government on Hong Kong Disneyland: US$3.3 billion
Money invested by Disney: approx. US$500 million
HK Government equity stake: 57%
Disney's equity stake: 43%
HK Government's share of spending: 82%

Early estimate of number of Guangdong tourists staying overnight in Hong Kong: 16.6%
Government's estimate: over 90%

Percentage of revenues that go to Disney under royalty and other agreements: "most" for the first 40 years
Professor of Economics Sunny Kwong Kai-sun's analysis of the Government's projected returns, employment benefits and flow-on economic effects: "too optimistic"

SCMP's view: Nor should we be overly worried about the financial figures; Disneyland in Florida and Paris opened with as much controversy, yet have become overwhelmingly as successful as Disney's other resorts.
Eurodisney's latest results: First half loss Euro53.4 million, estimated debt to equity ratio 716%
SCMP's definition of "overwhelmingly successful": dubious

Number of feral dogs caught: 40
Number of fish killed due to dredging work: 6.66 million
Noise during fireworks display: 56.9 decibels @ Discovery Bay
Legal limit: 55 decibels

Estimated opening date of Shanghai Disneland: 2010


Handy hint:

Everyone knows the fireworks are at 9pm. The trick to a trouble free visit is to get to the park around 8:45pm. If you're prepared to forgo the fireworks, the park is your oyster. No queues, no crowds. It only takes 30 minutes to circumnavigate the park, so with a bit of luck you can be back on the train before the crowds at 9:15pm.

One other hint: be careful of Donald Duck getting too friendly...not that there's anything wrong with that.

Sources

Hong Kong Disneyland: Build it and they will come
SCMP - "More figure than fact in projections of financial gain" (no link)
The Standard - Disney deal anger mounts
Hong Kong economy Wikipedia
Eurodisney Annual Report
The Standard - Guangdong tourists plan quick exits



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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 10:58
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» Peaktalk links with: HONG KONG UPDATE




Hong Kong's sisters are doing it for themselves

The SCMP continues to report the news that matters:

Hong Kong women are becoming increasingly sexually liberated and willing to make sexual demands on their partners...The survey found 80 per cent of women had initiated sex with their partners. However, only 3 per cent said they have frequently done so, with 40 per cent saying their partners made the first move in most cases.

The survey was conducted jointly by the Association for the Advancement of Feminism and the University of Hong Kong since 2002. Seventy per cent of the respondents had completed university or higher education...30 per cent of young women in their early 20s had pre-marital sex.
The survey also found almost 70% of young women in their early 20s lied in sex surveys.
...Hong Kong still had a long way to go because sex education at most schools run by the Catholic Church needed to be more open about the topic to educate youngsters.
It could be a long wait if you want the Catholic Church to be more open about sex education. Any faith based on a virgin birth is going to have all sorts of trouble teaching hormone-ridden teenagers the facts of life.

More disturbingly...

The survey found 60 per cent of women practised safe sex with partners, mostly using condoms. Worryingly, the survey found 40 per cent of women had been indecently assaulted, while 15 per cent said they had been pressured into unwanted sex. Sixty per cent said they had been sexually harassed, but 90 per cent of them did not go to the police.
More results below the jump.

SEX IN THE CITY

Of respondents to the sex survey:

80 per cent have initiated sex

3 per cent are usually the one to initiate sex

40 per cent usually let their partner initiate sex

80 per cent have told their partner how they want to be touched

70 per cent have masturbated




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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 09:30
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» links with: tranny surprise




September 11, 2005
Hu's Better, Hu's Best

Pardon the reference to that Daltrey/Townshend classic of the 1970s.

Last week we blogged about how Premier Wen Jiabao, on a trip abroad, uttered some words about how the evolution towards democracy was a continuous process. Some of you gave me some stick, perhaps well deserved, for my rather optimistic header - "Chinese Democracy On the Way." Among other things, it was mentioned that Wen said it off the cuff to some foreign EU leaders, not to his own people.

But I would like the doubters re-evaluate that new openness of the Chinese towards democracy and reform in light of the momentous news in this article in the Washington Post. It discusses how President Hu Jintao has declared that the late liberal-minded reformer Hu Yaobang, former Party Secretary, had been posthumously rehabilitated and celebrations would take place this November to mark the 90th anniversary of his birth.

In case you need reminding, it was the occasion of the death that sparked the demonstrations, candlelit vigils and ultimately failed protest in Tiananmen Square in 1989. And this rehabilitation is not just a comment for foreigners, this is sending a very clear message to a domestic audience. This is all clearly part of a marked shift in Beijing's policy and stance towards political liberalization.

Some of you will clearly say that you want actions, not words. But make no mistake - for a cautious party that has had six decades' experience in turning every proclamation and speech, every symbol into a deliberate act conveying a deliberate message, this is screaming "Change" from the rooftops. We are entering a new era.

One wonders though, do they feel they do it from a position of strength or weakness?

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 22:14
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Ang Lee, Meet Southpark

When I heard that "Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon" director Ang Lee won the Golden Lion at this year's Venice Film Festival, I remembered fondly a Southpark episode I saw years ago. Lee's new movie, entitled "Brokeback Mountain", is about gay cowboys in Wyoming. It stars Jake Gyllenhaal and Heath Ledger, and makes Matt Stone and Trey Parker of Southpark fame sound oddly prophetic when they penned these lines for an episode entitled "Chef's Salty Chocolate Balls" in 1998 (parodying the Sundance Festival in Park City, Utah):

Mr. Garrison:The first annual South Park film festival begins today.
Wendy: Wow, cool.
Kyle: They're not gonna show that stupid --- Godzilla movie again are they?
Mr. Garrison: No, no Kyle these are independent films.
Stan: Oh like Independence Day, that sucked --- too.
Cartman: No dude, independent films are those black and white hippie movies. They're always about gay cowboys eating pudding.

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 21:56
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September 09, 2005
Daily linklets 9th September

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 16:22
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» Sun Bin links with: Two birds with one stone: how to solve the Iran and Japan nuclear problem
» ChinaTalk links with: Pillsbury's logic flaws




September 08, 2005
A recovery idea for New Orleans

While there are plenty of recriminations over the handling of New Orleans and Katrina, I look to the future of this once and future great city...

WARNING: not for the thin-skinned or humourless.

Venice New Orleans

venice.jpg



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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 19:53
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Mao Mickey blues

Marx said the history repeats twice: the first time as tragedy, the second as farce. More proof he was right (for once):

The opening day crowds, expected to number up to half a million visitors, failed to materialise, however, and at close of the first day barely 50,000 people had passed through the gates.

The first phase of development (the theme park, hotel complex and golf course) had gone massively over budget, and had eventually cost 22 billion French Francs to complete. Over the next few months attendance figures failed to improve much, and by May the park was only attracting something like 25,000 visitors a day, instead of the predicted 60,000. Combined with the realisation that only 3 in every 10 visitors were native French, the Euro Disney company stock price started a rapid downward spiral, losing almost four fifths of its value. Combined with incredibly optimistic over-pricing of hotel rooms, meals and merchandise, the Park was headed for a disaster...The situation was worsened by the fact that the cheap dollar was persuading more and more people to forego Europe in favour of holidays in Florida at Walt Disney World.

EuroDisney was also over-populated with hotels, especially for a park that could be reasonably well explored within a full day. Coupled with high prices for food and souvenirs, the EuroDisney company started to close hotels during the winter months and even consider the seasonal closure of the Park itself.

All taken from this brief history of EuroDisney.

HK Disney is experiencing a variation of the problem: too many initial visitors rather than too few. More than 30% of those visitors wouldn't visit again. Phil has a first hand report of his visit to the park, detailing lengthy queues, overcrowding, few amusements and transport problems. After a charity day on the weekend that turned into a debacle, Disney has refused to lower the park's capacity of 30,000 despite being 17 times smaller than EuroDisney but similar attendance figures. They have also managed to annoy local residents with overly loud fireworks, have a cull of local dogs, ham-fisted (pun intended) attempts to offer shark-fin soup, and of course various environmentalists to boot.

It doesn't bode well. But why should I care? Because HK Disneyland has been primarily paid for by Hong Kong's taxpayers to the tune of over US$3 billion! A while back I posted on all the economics and numbers of Hong Kong Disneyland and it is even more disquieting reading now. Unsurprisingly, we've got a dud. What's worse is the likely ongoing increased costs of the park for HK taxpayers for a marginal increase in tourists in a city that has record tourist arrivals.

Alan Zeman of Ocean Park is beaming...and why wouldn't he smile? While the rest of Hong Kong suffers, it's good to know that there's at least one winner.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 18:54
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Daily linklets 8th September

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 17:39
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» The Peking Duck links with: East Meets Westerner Meets the Fantabulist




The long arm of the law

Senior Chinese Government officials decided it would be a good idea to collate the thoughts and intentions of the legislative intent of the Basic Law, Hong Kong's constitution, in a compendium. Naturally many suspected this was a stealthy way for Beijing to further stamp its interpretations of the Basic Law. But nothing could be further from the truth, says another official. It is merely a historical document, a matter of academic research. It will not be used as a guideline for interpretations nor will it affect judicial decisions. I wonder if they will also seek out the views, thoughts and opinions of the Brits involved in drafting the Basic Law?

By complete co-incidence the SCMP reports a renewed push for Hong Kong to conclude an agreement with the mainland on enforcing civil court judgements in each jurisdiction. Why would Hong Kong's legal fraternity be worried about such a reasonable proposal?

Lawyers and business leaders in Hong Kong last night welcomed the prospect of such a deal, but said stumbling blocks remained. Chief among their worries were the quality of mainland justice and whether mainland authorities could enforce Hong Kong court judgments.

"Mainland courts might not arrive at judgments as impartially as Hong Kong courts do," said Stanley Lau Chin-ho, deputy chairman of the Federation of Hong Kong Industries.

The rest of the article has similarly hedged quotes. Interestingly Taiwan and the mainland have had a mutal recognition agreement for seven years. Essentially Hong Kong's lawyers are saying they don't have enough faith in China's legal system.

Remember, the Basic Law compendium will not be a legal document. We have Beijing's word.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 11:29
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When Batman and Superman fight, only evil wins*
"It is always very difficult to strike the right balance, particularly in exchange rate management, between withholding key information for the purpose of retaining some constructive ambiguity on the one hand, and transparency that theoretically enhances efficiency and credibility on the other.

... the free market does not always give priority to public interest. It is indeed advisable to keep something up our sleeves, whether it is key information or the right to change the rules of the game."

That's Joseph Yam, head of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority. Jake van der Kamp in today's SCMP discusses the quote and why it is wrong, as well as the potential for another Asia crisis (see below the jump). But I need to quibble with something more fundamental: the nature of markets.

A market is nothing but a collection of buyers and sellers. Each agent makes decisions as to what to buy/sell, in what quantity and at what price. If a buyer finds the right product at the right price in the right amount, they buy it from a seller who has the right product at the right price at the right amount. It is simple and ingenious. My Yam has made a common mistake. A market is not an entity in itself. It has no morals. It never acts in the public interest. This was the key insight of Adam Smith:

It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest.
If each agent pursues their own self-interest, we are all better off. The market is the aggregation of all these individual self-interests. The market doesn't prioritise public interest. It is, by definition, the public interest.

What Mr. Yam means is the free market does not always go how the HKMA would like it. That's a very different thing. He's not alone. Any time you hear or read someone bleating about the evils of "the market" and how it acts contrary to "public interest", be clear what both those terms really mean.

On the subject of dysfunctional markets...


Jake rightly explains that while Saint Alan Greenspan can get away with constructive ambiguity, the HKMA is in a very different position. Hong Kong's monetary policy is exceedingly simple: you get 7.8 Hong Kong dollars for every US dollar, or vice versa. It's robotic, it's well understood, it's credible and it works. It was setup in response to the debacle that was Hong Kong's monetary history. Thanks to some inventive policies it survived the 1997 Asia crisis, although it resulted in 7 years of deflation as a consequence (if your currency can't devalue, your prices have to fall).

Jake also notes in general the 1997 Asia crisis was survived, rather than dealt with:

...government policy muddles once again threaten to unsettle monetary affairs in Asia. The last time they did so the result was the Asian financial crisis of 1997. On that occasion it was exchange rate rigging in Thailand that set things off. At present it is fuel price subsidies in Indonesia that have come unstuck because of higher oil prices. This has led to rupiah interest rates soaring and the rupiah plunging.

The sad history of Asian central banks since 1997 has been one of first blaming others for their troubles and then resorting to the same old pre-1997 game of rigging their US dollar exchange rates without adopting a formal and transparent mechanism such as we have in the peg. The US dollar may have fallen dramatically against major currencies over the past three years but you would not know it to look at the exchange rate history of most Asian currencies over that period.

We have certainly had constructive ambiguity at work here but not St Alan's sort. All that Asian central bankers have done to stave off a repeat of the 1997 experience is starve their domestic economies of capital investment by building up massive foreign reserves in the hope that this will scare off the speculator.

Perhaps they will succeed on this occasion but, if they are determined still to rig their currencies, there is only one good way of ensuring that Indonesia's troubles go no further than Indonesia. It is to do what we did in 1997 by having a formal fixed currency system in place and sticking to the rules it imposed on us in a transparent manner that served the public interest.

* I should note, the title has absolutely nothing to do with this post. But it's a good one. Thanks, Tom.

Other reading

Sun-bin translates more on Joseph Yam and the RMB basket.



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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 10:44
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September 07, 2005
Daily linklets 7th September

They're back:

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 14:58
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» Barbarian Envoy links with: Rising Above Yahoos
» The Peking Duck links with: East Meets Westerner Meets the Fantabulist




High level TV

Enjoying the view from my Central eyrie, I cast an eye upon the rapidly dimishing Hong Kong harbour and enjoy watching Asia's World City in action. My attention rapidly shifts to the most ridiculous site in a city full of them: a massive electronic display at the top of the new mobile phone shaped AIG Tower in Central. While certainly edifiying for the occupants of Cheung Kong Centre, Citibank Plaza and the Bank of China buiding, it otherwise broadcasts above a population oblivious to its presence. And what quality broadcasts! So far I've enjoyed watching the worker bee in charge log in to his computer, read some emails and finally boot up a screen saver that revolves around displaying an advertisement for AIG and random colours.

A brilliant sales job by whomever sold the display (a poor quality photo is below the jump). I'd check the warranty, though. There appear several large blocks that are broken...I think. It's hard to tell.

The AIG building is now truly a Hong Kong landmark. Perhaps we can organise a switch. Put Hong Kong's regular TV up on the AIG building and broadcast the AIG screensaver to the Big Lychee's 7 million TV sets.

Who would notice the difference?

The AIG Building's Big TV in the Sky

aigtv.jpg



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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 14:51
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A Poverty of Reason

Tom Plate is a well known and respected commentator on China and Asian matters. I wish he would stick to what he knows. His piece "From Kyoto to New Orleans" repeats the growing meme that Hurricane Katrina is a warning about global warming:

It is also a fact that many eminent scientific seers directly connect the worldwide warming phenomenon with certain kinds of bad weather news -- to wit, the apparently growing severity of "natural" catastrophes.
It is also a fact many seers disagree with this contention, and even with the idea of global warming itself. Set that aside. It is easy to refute Tom's thesis. The trend of hurricanes striking the US is declining, as the data from the US National Weather Service shows. In Hong Kong we've not had any typhoons this year at all. Maybe the one impact of global warming is the frying of Californian brains?

Don't worry, Tom, you're in good company. There are plenty of people saying nutty things about Katrina.

On a related topic, if you are at all interested in the ideas of sustainable development, you must read A Poverty of Reason by Wilfred Beckerman. In less than 100 pages Beckerman clearly and logically explains why the Earth will not run out of natural resources for the foreseeable future, why the idea of sustainable development makes poverty worse, and is destructive in terms of intergenerational equity. Perhaps his most important points are his plea for most cost-benefit analysis (especially when dealing with the "precautionary principle") in dealing with the environment and that so-called sustainable development remedies are often worse than the problems they purport to fix.

His conclusion bears repeating:

The greatest contribution that we can make to the welfare of future generations is to bequeath a free and democratic society.
Despite protestations to the contrary many "green" policies make poverty worse, preventing the poor from getting a chance at better living while greenies lecture them from the comfort of their Western lifestyles. It is the new imperialism. That's irony for you.

Update

Excellent additional reading on the Kyoto/Katrina meme at Daily Demarche...plus ca change.

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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 10:43
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» The White Peril 白禍 links with: Back in Simon World
» Foo1 links with: blowjob




September 06, 2005
Top referrers and stats for August

I'm back from my 2 weeks away. Dave has done an excellent job and I hope will remain a co-blogger going forward.

Basically August was Kissel month.

Firstly thanks to the top referrers for August:

Rockson
Hemlock
The Oil Drum
ESWN
Danwei
Peking Duck

Thank you to everyone else who also linked and visited.

As usual, some stats for August:

* 24,049 unique visitors made 58,697 unique visits, reading a total of 183,913 pages,and drawing 9.58 GB of bandwidth.
* This equals 1,893 visitors per day reading 5,933 pages each day. In other words each visitor reads 3.13 pages on average. Each visitor returned on average 2.44 times during the month.
* 1417 visited this site via their favourites/bookmarks. 217 subscribe via Bloglines and 133 via Feedburner.
* 61% of you use IE, 15% Firefox, 3.1% Safari, 1.6% Mozilla, 1% Opera and 1% Netscape to browse this site. 75.8% of you use Windows, 5.7% Mac, 1.1% Linux.
* 10.6% of visits were via search engines, of which Google was 73.8% and Yahoo 19%. The top search phrases were "Nancy Kissel", "Robert Kissel" and "Icered".
* Unsurprisingly, the most visited individual page was the "Nancy Kissel trial archive".



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[boomerang] Posted by Simon at 17:27
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The Disgraceful Death Business in HK

There are triads involved in every walk of Hong Kong life it seems. But perhaps one of the most brutally mercenary in which they are involved is the incredibly lucrative death business in Hong Kong. There are only a few funeral homes in Hong Kong, all of which mint money. Then there are all the people that round up some sullen monks of either Daoist or Buddhist persuasion to perform some funeral rituals and buy flowers and coffins at vastly inflated mark-ups.

If you have ever lost someone close to you in Hong Kong, you will know the rage I felt when my father passed away and I had to go to the government death registration office in Wu Chung House, Wanchai. There, even as I sat waiting to tell some functionary that my father was no more, there were funeral touts trying to drum up business from me, aggressively. At that moment, I was seething with anger.

These scenes shockingly were about to erupt into violence yesterday, as rival triad groups were about to fight each other over who was going to be allowed to prey on grieving relatives at a newly-opened government mortuary. According to the SCMP:

Police arrested 50 men yesterday as two suspected triad gangs massed at a new mortuary, ready to fight for the right to prey on grieving relatives.

The men, suspected to belong to rival factions of the Wo Shing Wo triad society, were caught at the main entrance and in the car park of the public mortuary in Kwai Chung at about 9.30 am.

Police said the gangs were believed to have arrived for a showdown over which would control the lucrative trade of touting for funeral business. They were arrested before trouble broke out, a detective said.

Notice the police arrested the men not for their vulture-like joy over carcasses, and taking advantage of weeping widows, but for wanting to disturb the peace. Shocking.

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 13:39
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September 05, 2005
Chinese Democracy On the Way

In the 1980s, Communist reformers were forced by hardline leftists to explain that China's economic reforms were not merely paving the way for 'peaceful evolution', as they called political liberalization from economic forces. They were forced to spit on those words, and two decades ago they were as awful to the ear in China as the word 'liberal' is in the United States today. In the 1980s, after all, outside Western commentators were constantly commenting on how China put economic reform before political reform, while the former USSR did it the other way round. Reformers were therefore put on the defensive.

But economic reform creates both a momentum and a logic all its own. The CCP has unleashed market forces that have made the Chinese economy go very fast; but now, the very speed of the economy means they cannot suddenly pull on the brakes or jump off without very grave consequences. Wealth gives people belief in the dignity of their own existence; and with a middle class, as I've said many times, comes demand for a greater say in government.

Today, according to Reuters, Wen Jiabao, the Premier of China, has made official what we've all suspected; that democracy in China is just a matter of time. His words:

"China will press ahead with its development of democratic politics, that is reconstruction, in an unswerving way, including direct elections," Wen told a news conference ahead of an EU-China summit.

"If the Chinese people can manage a village, I believe in several years they can manage a township. That would be an evolving system."

China has introduced direct elections for village chiefs in more than 660,000 villages, and many of those elected are not party members. But it has dragged its feet on expanding suffrage for the election of officials at higher levels.

The ramifications of this statement, though, are immense. It means China has finally admitted that 1) democratic government is ultimately the best form of government for social stability, given a mature polity; and 2) that forces within China are acting as inexorable agents of change that are forcing both this admission and the evolution itself to a more democratic, representative form of government. Why do I make conclusion 2)? Because it seems that when a party such as the CCP has a monopoly on power, that it would not necessarily want to cede control of that power to competitive elections.

Of course, this is going to start off very slowly and small, and I'm sure opposing candidates at the district level are not going to be allowed to run on anti-CCP platforms. They likely need to do this though, given how poor governance has become at the local level, and the need to clean up the corruption of officials that currently have no process by which locals could evict them.

Unfortunately, as incomplete democacies in developing polities with corruption problems have shown, democracy is no panacea for rooting out graft and greed in public office. But it may mean local people at least feel they have a mechanism for 'throwing out the bums' and punishing officials with poor track records, making them less likely in the short term to demand more dramatic reforms.

Also, the article cites Hong Kong as evidence to Beijing that democracy doesn't really work that well. But the problem is, since Hong Kong is not a full democracy, many people of ability shy away from politics as it seems laden with unspoken taboos and glass ceilings, making it a flawed model for China.

All of this is speculation at present though, and full democracy many years in the uncertain future. For now, we'll just have to see what happens with this brave new policy commitment by Beijing.

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 23:08
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» asiapundit links with: short monday links
» Sun Bin links with: China' democracy reform
» Phatic Communion links with: Building Ties
» sun bin links with: Gradualism and "Democracy with Chinese Characteristics"
» MeiZhongTai links with: D3m0cr@cy




Whitewashing Modern Chinese History

In an article I regard as more in the tradition of Xinhua, the party organ I discussed in my last blog entry offers an article about how "Ancient philosophy guides China's modern diplomacy". It discusses how the Chinese foreign minister said recently that "the Chinese nation has always pursued a life in harmony with other nations despite differences." The article then goes on to quote Confucius and even Bertrand Russell in discussing the pacific leanings of China over the centuries.

That's all well and good, of course, except for the brief aberration known as Maoism that advocated violent revolution all over the world that must be inserted as a significant caveat. We'll ignore the peaceful revolution of Tibet and the saber-rattling at Taiwan as domestic issues for the moment, and even forgive millions of PLA soldiers pouring over the North Korean border once MacArthur crossed the Yalu River, 3 wars with India, or the support of money, arms, and equipment for Ho Chi Minh in the 1950s and part of the 1960s (heck, we'll even forget about China's unsuccessful invasion of Vietnam in 1979). But, please do explain to me the Maoist revolutionaries in places like Cambodia, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Peru and Colombia, which all received explicit support by China during the Great Helmsman's tenure.

Of course, even before that, the understanding China had with all nations was that it would be gentle and pacific towards them, as long as they acknowledged that China was the greatest nation in the world, and accepted a position of inferiority. But I'd be willing to accept that otherwise, China's been rather good to its neighbors over the millennia.

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 10:13
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Xinhua's Breaking News: Sex Sells

Not sure if you've been to the Xinhua English website, China View (www.chinaview.cn), lately. But on it I've made a (mock horror) terrible discovery. It's that Xinhua uses teaser pictures of scantily clad models on virtually every page for people to read more; examples here and here.

Not only that, but they've clearly also hired some sort of streetwise gossip columnist - they've got a lurid story inside of "newly-single" Eddie Murphy's "booty call" to Mariah Carey. Amazing.

What has happened to the party organ that once waxed enthusiastically about proletarian revolution and socialist internationalism? I guess that organ found something else to get excited about.

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 09:58
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September 02, 2005
One-Child Policy: How Much Longer?

Yesterday I alluded to China's growing likelihood of an aging crisis in about 20-30 years in jest as a rationale for why China's food quality standards are so abysmal. But China does indeed have an aging population, one that will require an undeniable social cost in just one generation.

So why does the country continue to have a one-child family policy? I'd almost forgotten China has one, given the number of people I know that have more than one child in China - legally. How do they do it? I was reminded of the simple strategy by this article about filmmaker Chen Kaige - just pay the Y60,000 fine.

But is it good policy? Perhaps the security of economic growth is still too new for the policymakers to shift gears radically and remove a key piece of legislation that, regardless of how you feel about its arbitrary, pro-abortion stance, has helped get China where it is today. It's another reason why, of course, China is very different from India, where birthrates per family still mange 4-5. (I saw this article about Chinese firms helping Pakistan manufacture contraceptives and found that an, uh, uphill battle).

But if in 30 years time the population actually finds itself shrinking and aging, the consequences for a country that still will be struggling to hit first world status will be severe. They should stop this anachronistic policy before it's too late - and then end up like Hong Kong (0.65 natural birth rate amongst permanent Hong Kong residents, the lowest in the world). They certainly won't be able to keep deflating the world anymore...

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 23:41
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» matthewstinson.net links with: How to end the One Child Policy




September 01, 2005
Russian Roulette Has Better Odds

More on the food scandals gripping China - news just in that the majority of food production, handled by mom-and-pop producers, do not meet even rudimentary safety standards. An article on Asia News Network carries the story on why you can't trust anything you eat in the country:

Indeed, a study last year on China's food safety strategy, led by the State Council's Development Research Centre revealed a number of problems contributing to food-safety breaches. They include excessive and improper use of pesticides, the existence of many unqualified small-scale food companies and inadequate food-safety technology.

But the overriding reason food contamination occurs so often, food safety experts here and abroad say, is that the regulatory system cannot keep up with the fast growing food industry.

The article goes on to describe the conditions under which food is being made:
In 2003, the output value of China's food industry reached 1.29 trillion yuan (US$161.62 billion), nearly 20 per cent up on 2002. In the first six months of last year, the industry achieved an output value of nearly 710 billion yuan ($421.95 billion), a 20 per cent increase over the same period in 2003.

But reports in the local press say more than 70 per cent of China's 106,000 registered food makers are family-run outfits of fewer than 10 people. And at least 60 per cent of these cannot meet basic sanitary standards.

Professor Luo Yunbo, dean of China Agricultural University's college of food science and nutritional engineering said: "China does not lack regulations, but there's a lack of unified supervision and control."

And eating food produced by big Western brand names might not be much of a solution:
In the first half of the year, several food scandals involving big names such as KFC and Nestle, hogged headlines and shook consumer confidence.

Some KFC products were reported to be tainted with Sudan-I, a cancer-causing dye, and some of Nestle's infant milk powder formulas were found to contain iodine levels higher than the national standard.

Both companies took the products off the shelves, apologised to consumers and conducted investigations to root out the source of the contamination.

I'm normally the 'goes-tropo' guy, the one that will eat or try almost anything, keeping an open mind. But I really will have to boycott Chinese agricultural products until their standards improve. Or is [warning: dubious conspiracy theory ahead] this an evil plan so that China simply won't have to worry about an aging population in 30 years' time?

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[boomerang] Posted by HK Dave at 14:33
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» GZ Expat, Part II links with: Chiner food standards
» asiapundit links with: thursday links