October 03, 2005

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Chinese statistical inflation

China's economic statistics are notoriously unreliable but most agree that China has been the recipient of huge amounts of foreign direct investment (FDI). Not according to UNCTAD:

China claims FDI of $5.42 bn from US in 2002 while US says $924 mn, a variation of 83%. Adding a new twist to the debate over China’s awesome FDI figures, a recent Unctad report has said the numbers claimed by the country are far in excess of those reported by investors.

China claims that it got FDI worth $5.42 billion from the US in 2002. But the US says it has invested a meagre $924 million during the period, Unctad’s World Investment Report 2005, says.

The discrepancy is visible in case of other investors as well. China says Hong Kong invested $17.86 billion in 2002. But Hong Kong says the amount is $15.93 billion. Again, Chinese data show that Japan pumped in $4.19 billion during the year, while Japan claims it invested $2.60 billion a discrepancy of 38 per cent.

Interestingly, an OECD report titled “China: Progress and Policy review” points out that FDI flow into China from OECD countries during 1995-2000 was $39.3 billion, while the Chinese commerce ministry shows $77 billion. The OECD report states, “MOFCOM (ministry of commerce of the People’s Republic of China) FDI statistics are not based on the internationally recognised standards that are generally applied by OECD countries.
Even allowing for different calculation methods, these are huge differences. Has the China boom been more hype than reality? If FDI has been lower than typically believed, there is even more "hot money" and less stable forms of investment in China and the trade/captial account problems between America and China are even more worrying.

posted by Simon on 10.03.05 at 10:41 AM in the China economy category.




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Are China's FDI figures exaggerated?
Excerpt: Posted by Martyn Simonworld asks if China's economic boom has been more hype than reality. "China's economic statistics are notoriously unreliable but most agree that China has been the recipient of huge amounts of foreign direct investment (FDI). Not ...
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Excerpt: China's economic statistics are notoriously unreliable, but most agree that China has been the recipient of huge amounts of foreign direct investment (FDI). But not according to the UNCTAD World Investment Report 2005, which reported that China came th...
Weblog: New Economist
Tracked: October 4, 2005 07:07 AM


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