October 04, 2005

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Yu Maochun on Taiwan

Dr. Yu Maochun is professor of history at the United States Naval Academy in Annapolis, Maryland. He just gave a talk titled "Will China Attack Taiwan? Calculating the risk for war."

Luckily Mad Minerva went along and took copious notes, which you'll find at the above link. As a teaser, here are the six factors to consider:

1. Historical Pattern: China’s historical propensity to use force to solve geopolitical problems.
2. China’s New Security Agenda
3. High-Level Power Struggles Within Chinese Government Elite
4. Cross-Strait Economic Engagement
5. Taiwanese Democracy
6. The United States
There are some great snippets within the notes themselves, and MM has a constructive conclusion on the talk. Well worth a read.

posted by Simon on 10.04.05 at 01:16 PM in the Taiwan category.


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