July 21, 2005

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Revaluation day

China just revalued their currency to 8.11 yuan to the US dollar.

Surprise!

Updates

Xinhua is saying the yuan will stay in a range of plus and minus 0.3% around the new peg, although there are conflicting reports they are moving to a currency basket.

The question is whether a 2% revaluation is enough to appease the Americans and the speculators. The answer is likely not. It's a Clayton's move: the revaluation you have when you're not having a revaluation. A 2% move won't solve America's trade imbalance. Nor would a 20% move.

Malaysia, home to one of Asia's other pegged currency, has its central bank Governor meeting its Prime Minister. See below.

The official statement by the PBoC:

With a view to establish and improve the socialist market economic system in China, enable the market to fully play its role in resource allocation as well as to put in place and further strengthen the managed floating exchange rate regime based on market supply and demand, the People's Bank of China, with authorization of the State Council, is hereby making the following announcements regarding reforming the RMB exchange rate regime:

1. Starting from July 21, 2005, China will reform the exchange rate regime by moving into a managed floating exchange rate regime based on market supply and demand with reference to a basket of currencies. RMB will no longer be pegged to the US dollar and the RMB exchange rate regime will be improved with greater flexibility.

2. The People's Bank of China will announce the closing price of a foreign currency such as the US dollar traded against the RMB in the inter-bank foreign exchange market after the closing of the market on each working day, and will make it the central parity for the trading against the RMB on the following working day.

3. The exchange rate of the US dollar against the RMB will be adjusted to 8.11 yuan per US dollar at the time of 19:00 hours of July 21, 2005. The foreign exchange designated banks may since adjust quotations of foreign currencies to their customers.

4. The daily trading price of the US dollar against the RMB in the inter-bank foreign exchange market will continue to be allowed to float within a band of 0.3 percent around the central parity published by the People's Bank of China, while the trading prices of the non-US dollar currencies against the RMB will be allowed to move within a certain band announced by the People's Bank of China.

The People's Bank of China will make adjustment of the RMB exchange rate band when necessary according to market development as well as the economic and financial situation. The RMB exchange rate will be more flexible based on market condition with reference to a basket of currencies. The People's Bank of China is responsible for maintaining the RMB exchange rate basically stable at an adaptive and equilibrium level, so as to promote the basic equilibrium of the balance of payments and safeguard macroeconomic and financial stability.

And now Malaysia's gone to a "managed float", according to Reuters. Only the Hong Kong dollar to go.

posted by Simon on 07.21.05 at 08:07 PM in the China economy category.




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China Revalues Yuan - America's Problems Solved! Oh, Wait...
Excerpt:
Weblog: Imagethief
Tracked: July 21, 2005 08:47 PM


China Revalues Yuan - America's Problems Solved! Oh, Wait...
Excerpt:
Weblog: Imagethief
Tracked: July 21, 2005 08:50 PM


China buigt
Excerpt: Het land 'revalueert' eindelijk de yuan....
Weblog: Nieuws
Tracked: July 21, 2005 09:04 PM


Yuan revalues
Excerpt: China made a small revaluation move today. Not as much as the US admin wants, but sooner than I expected. Simon's got more. Also, Imagethief is expecting great deprivation.
Weblog: Shenzhen Ren
Tracked: July 21, 2005 10:20 PM


China buigt
Excerpt: Het land 'revalueert' eindelijk de yuan....
Weblog: Nieuws
Tracked: July 22, 2005 02:55 AM


Comments:

My first economic speculation:
Hey, if you are in US, grab some nice pants immediately before....
vendors realize the 2% yuan apprecicated would lead to more than much higher cost in textiles products from China. If you get a nice cloth deal this weekend, go for it-.

My 2nd speculation is more trivial if you're living in US, sell your house??!! :p

posted by: lin on 07.22.05 at 06:37 AM [permalink]




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