September 07, 2004

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NYT is reporting that Jiang Zemin, head of the PLA and erstwhile President, is about to relinquish his posts over to President Hu Jintao.

Jiang Zemin, China’s military chief and senior leader, has told Communist Party officials that he plans to resign, prompting an intense and so far inconclusive struggle for control of the armed forces, two people with leadership connections say...But people here who were informed about a bargaining session under way at a government compound in western Beijing said it remained unclear whether Mr. Jiang genuinely intended to step aside, or if he would do so on terms acceptable to Mr. Hu.
This power struggle has been going on since Hu assumed the Presidency and has wide-ranging implications. The article goes into details but essentially Hu and his new generation of leadership are thought to be more open to reform, less didatic on Taiwan, better relations with the region, improved control over the provincial Governments and thus better control over the economy, tackling corruption and doing more to help balance the gap between the rural poor and urban rich.

The real question is what is Zemin's quid pro quo? He is not likely to be giving up his posts and control without getting something significant in the bargain. And if this shifting of power finally occurs, Hu Jintao will no longer have any excuses and he needs to finally deliver on the promise and hope invested in him.

posted by Simon on 09.07.04 at 02:32 PM in the




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