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March 26, 2004
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Toe Stubbbed, New Election called
I know I said I wouldn't comment any more on Taiwan's election but like any good politician my promises are only valid until I break them. If only Al Gore had thought of this in 2000 things could have been very different. Note: there's a SCMP fisking too... From the SCMP: Legislators from the two camps are meeting today and through the weekend to finalise amendments to the electoral law to allow the president to issue an executive order for a ballot recount. But lawmakers from the opposition Kuomintang and People First Party alliance demanded inserting an "assassination clause" that would effectively require the Central Election Commission to nullify last Saturday's election.This is quite a novel concept. Polls not looking good? Cut yourself shaving. Brake a nail. Stub your toe. All good reasons to stop an election. Even worse is to apply it retrospectively. Can someone spell sour grapes? You lose the election, but it's close. The winner even offers a recount. But you don't actually want a recount because you might lose that. So you dredge up all sorts of spurious reasons the vote was "rigged". If 20 million people cast their votes, of course there are going to be occasional discrepancies. I once drew Bart Simpson on my ballot paper in Australia and gave it to a mate in the next booth who added Homer. They managed to declare a winner in that poll nonetheless. The pan-blues have yet to provide any reasonable evidence of systematic vote-rigging; so far all they've got is some isolated incidents. Even the High Court in Taiwan said the opposition can't yet file a suit on this, because that's the law. Remember that pesky little thing, the law? The longer this goes on the better Chen looks and the worse the KMT looks. Chen just has to keep his mouth shut and let the KMT completely self-destruct. Taiwan is the only Chinese society that has become a full democracy. But the conduct of its presidential poll last Saturday was a great disappointment to all Chinese who had hoped that the island would set an example for the democratisation of the mainland and Hong Kong.True, except so far the allegations have not been backed up with any significant evidence. So in truth that's a bold accusation with no real basis in fact. As I have discussed previously, it stretches the bounds of credibility for Chen to organise his own attempted assassination - there's far too much that could have gone wrong, including his own death. The election's aftermath has shown there are plenty of crazies in Taiwan who feel strongly enough about this to imagine it was a genuine attempt to kill the man. Other irregularities have also occurred in the election to make one wonder if Taiwan has a credible electoral system.There were 20 millions votes. I'd be worried if there weren't some small irregularities - we're talking about human beings here. And what's wrong with getting your kid to push the button. I'd do it myself if I had JC or PB with me. It doesn't mean the vote isn't valid or it is part of a vast fraud. Local governments with political affiliations reportedly put their sympathisers in charge of polling stations. The fact that exceptionally large numbers of ballots were declared invalid in some districts controlled by Mr Chen's Democratic Progressive Party has lent credence to such concerns.As does the well documented informal vote campaign in this election. But jumping to conclusions is so much easier. In the event, the team comprising the Kuomintang's Mr Lien and the People First Party's James Soong Chu-yu lost by 0.24 per cent of the vote, even though it was leading by a modest margin in opinion polls before Mr Chen and Ms Lu were shot. As many as 337,297 ballots, or 2.5 per cent of the total, were declared invalid.Oh my God, the opinion polls were wrong. Please refer to Elections, Spain, for one recent example of this. The Lien team has since mobilised supporters to force a recount and an independent investigation of the shooting.So two wrongs apparently make a right. Or should that be the pot calling the kettle black. I don't know, I can't keep up with the clichés here. Obviously the 80% of Taiwan voters who turned up last Saturday had enough faith that they bothered to vote. While outright attempts at buying votes or stuffing the ballot boxes with dubious papers are said to have been reduced in recent years, attempts to manipulate the conduct of elections have remained.Yes, politics is a dirty game. But Chen did nothing illegal in holding the referendum at the same time. So quite what is wrong with this is hard to see. But if you throw enough mud, some is bound to stick. On the strength of members appointed by the DPP, the election commission even held at one point that votes for the presidential election which were accidentally placed in ballot boxes for the referendum would also be counted.Some procedural argy-bargy has turned into a reason to suspend the result? Are Taiwanese vote counters so stupid they can't separate ballots from each box. Would that make the vote invalid? On one hand they are arguing the vote is invalid because the will of the people was subverted, while at the same time they want to subvert the clearly expressed will of the people by not recognising votes. All political processes are subject to manipulation: please see USA redistricting for one modern example. As the protest by KMT supporters outside the presidential office in Taipei drags on, the courts have rejected the party's bid to declare last Saturday's poll invalid on the grounds that the election commission has not formally announced the outcome of the election.Again what's the problem here? That the CEC is following the law? That the High Court is implementing the law? The CEC announced the result but haven't formally declared it because under Taiwan law they must wait 7 days after the poll for a formal declaration. Pretty simple. In the ensuing chaos sparked by Mr Lien's call for a recount, there were apparently no procedures for the commission to store the ballots under seal after they were counted. That had to be done by court officials the next day - a Sunday - by special arrangement after Mr Lien filed a suit. All these have shown up glaring holes in the electoral laws. The flaws would not have seemed so damaging had there been bi-partisan trust in the institutional integrity of the island's systems and a mutual respect for fair play.So the KMT used to rig things, but now it's biting them in the arse. Cry me a river. And what has transpired before and after the latest poll, which suggests that the DPP is just as manipulative, is not conducive to bringing that about.Say what? I didn't see Chen putting up posters with Osama and Saddam on them. As things stand, the KMT and the DPP are still locked in a zero-sum game that neither can afford to lose. Whether by executive or judicial order, a recount is almost certain to take place. The disconcerting prospect is that whether it is going to confirm Mr Chen as the winner or install Mr Lien as president, about half the island's population will not be pleased.Please see USA election 2000 for an example of a democracy that managed to survive a tight election, even though about half the population was not pleased. Yet again the SCMP hoists itself by its own petard. This kind of drivel is what passes for mature political discourse in this place. At least the SCMP continues in one vital service: it provides plenty of blog fodder. posted by Simon on 03.26.04 at 09:27 AM in the
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Comments:
Oh Boy. It's hard to keep up with the KMT bullshit nowadays. I'm tempted to start up a poll on "most amusing/stupid KMT tactic", but it's too hard to choose. My personal fave used to be the "Blind granny gets children to vote for her in referendum" (why's the KMT complaining about this? They said the referendum is a joke anyway). However, reading your article has given me a new one: So, at the 11th hour, the election committee wait until there are only pro-KMT members around, change the rules of the election - which will result in MORE invalid ballots .... and then scream about the suspicously high number of invalid ballots! Priceless. posted by: David on 03.26.04 at 10:50 AM [permalink] |
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